Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Vegalta Sendai had a probability of 31.89% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.58%) and 1-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Vegalta Sendai win was 1-0 (11.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sagan Tosu in this match.