CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Sep 5, 2024 at 9pm UK
Montserrat1 - 4El Salvador
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Montserrat and El Salvador.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Montserrat 1-3 Panama
Monday, June 10 at 2am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Monday, June 10 at 2am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
| Current League B Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nicaragua | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Dominican Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Barbados | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Montserrat | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: Guatemala 0-1 El Salvador
Sunday, July 28 at 3.30am in International Friendlies
Sunday, July 28 at 3.30am in International Friendlies
| Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panama | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Trinidad and Tobago | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Martinique | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Guatemala | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 5 | Curacao | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 6 | El Salvador | 4 | -4 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a El Salvador win with a probability of 64.81%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Montserrat had a probability of 14.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a El Salvador win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.19%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Montserrat win it was 1-0 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that El Salvador would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montserrat | Draw | El Salvador |
14.91% ( -1.08) | 20.29% ( 0.27) | 64.81% ( 0.81) |
| Both teams to score 50.25% ( -3.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
