Changchun

2 - 1

Guangzhou City

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 48.06%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 24.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Guangzhou City win it was 0-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Changchun Yatai would win this match.