MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 13:49:17| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 7
Oct 8, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
BayArena
Koln logo

B. Leverkusen
3 - 0
FC Koln

Hofmann (22'), Frimpong (32'), Okoh Boniface (67')
Frimpong (23'), Tapsoba (45+3'), Tah (61'), Alonso (66')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Baumgart (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Molde 1-2 B. Leverkusen
Thursday, October 5 at 8pm in Europa League

FC Koln

All competitions
Last Game: FC Koln 0-2 Stuttgart
Saturday, September 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 3-0 FC Koln

 Despite having had significantly less rest time than Koln due to their European involvements on Thursday evening, we expect Leverkusen to head into the upcoming international break at the top of the table by recording a comfortable win on Sunday. Koln's dreadful form so far this season has been slightly surprising given that they have been a solid outfit since Baumgart's appointment over two years ago, but they appear set for a difficult campaign this time around, which is in stark contrast to their high-flying opponents under Alonso. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 57.76%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 21.35% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.17%) and 1-0 (7.84%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (5.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawFC Koln
57.76% (-0.689 -0.69) 20.89% (0.304 0.3) 21.35% (0.384 0.38)
Both teams to score 61.08% (-0.517 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.64% (-0.942 -0.94)36.36% (0.94 0.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.51% (-1.035 -1.04)58.49% (1.034 1.03)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.55% (-0.49299999999999 -0.49)12.45% (0.492 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.6% (-1.034 -1.03)38.39% (1.033 1.03)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.76% (-0.197 -0.2)30.23% (0.197 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.6% (-0.239 -0.24)66.4% (0.23700000000001 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 57.76%
    FC Koln 21.35%
    Draw 20.89%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawFC Koln
2-1 @ 9.77% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.17% (0.07 0.07)
1-0 @ 7.84% (0.214 0.21)
3-1 @ 6.79% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-0 @ 5.67% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-2 @ 4.06% (-0.088 -0.09)
4-1 @ 3.53% (-0.127 -0.13)
4-0 @ 2.96% (-0.089 -0.09)
4-2 @ 2.11% (-0.088 -0.09)
5-1 @ 1.47% (-0.082 -0.08)
5-0 @ 1.23% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 57.76%
1-1 @ 9.38% (0.206 0.21)
2-2 @ 5.85% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.77% (0.172 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.62% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 20.89%
1-2 @ 5.61% (0.093 0.09)
0-1 @ 4.5% (0.183 0.18)
0-2 @ 2.69% (0.095 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.24% (0.025 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.07% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 21.35%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs FC Koln

Bayer Leverkusen
90.4%
Draw
7.7%
FC Koln
1.9%
52
Head to Head
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Gameweek 31
B. Leverkusen
1-2
FC Koln
Adli (28')
Selke (14', 36')
> Preview
Nov 9, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 14
FC Koln
1-2
B. Leverkusen
Schmitz (30')
Amiri (65'), Diaby (71')
> Preview
Mar 13, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 26
B. Leverkusen
0-1
FC Koln

Palacios (45+1'), Demirbay (90+2')
Schindler (67')
Skhiri (52'), Schmitz (65')
> Preview
Oct 24, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
FC Koln
2-2
B. Leverkusen
Modeste (63', 82')
Uth (36')
Schick (15'), Bellarabi (17')
Demirbay (43'), Diaby (65'), Andrich (89')
> Preview
Apr 17, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 29
B. Leverkusen
3-0
FC Koln
Bailey (5', 76'), Diaby (51')
Tapsoba (40')

Czichos (90')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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