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Western United
Australian A-League | Gameweek 15
Feb 3, 2024 at 6am UK
AAMI Park
Sydney FC

Western Utd
2 - 2
Sydney FC

Botic (45+3'), Garuccio (53')
Risdon (10'), Vidmar (35'), Ruhs (55')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Gomes (36' pen.), Girdwood-Reich (43')
Lacerda (3'), Gomes (67')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Western United and Sydney FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Western United

All competitions
Last Game: Western Utd 0-1 Western Sydney
Saturday, January 27 at 6am in Australian A-League

Sydney FC

All competitions
Last Game: Victory 1-1 Sydney FC
Friday, January 26 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for Western United had a probability of 33.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.51%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Western UnitedDrawSydney FC
33.67% (0.659 0.66) 23.77% (0.249 0.25) 42.56% (-0.9 -0.9)
Both teams to score 61.62% (-0.674 -0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.61% (-0.983 -0.98)40.39% (0.991 0.99)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.24% (-1.019 -1.02)62.77% (1.028 1.03)
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.33% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)23.67% (0.096 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.23% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)57.77% (0.14 0.14)
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.72% (-0.783 -0.78)19.28% (0.791 0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.99% (-1.31 -1.31)51.01% (1.319 1.32)
Score Analysis
    Western United 33.67%
    Sydney FC 42.56%
    Draw 23.77%
Western UnitedDrawSydney FC
2-1 @ 7.8% (0.118 0.12)
1-0 @ 6.57% (0.277 0.28)
2-0 @ 4.74% (0.187 0.19)
3-1 @ 3.75% (0.046 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.08% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.28% (0.084 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.35% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 33.67%
1-1 @ 10.82% (0.19 0.19)
2-2 @ 6.42% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.56% (0.205 0.21)
3-3 @ 1.69% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.77%
1-2 @ 8.91% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-1 @ 7.51% (0.155 0.15)
0-2 @ 6.18% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.89% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-3 @ 3.52% (-0.126 -0.13)
0-3 @ 3.39% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-4 @ 2.01% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-4 @ 1.45% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.4% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 42.56%

Head to Head
Dec 23, 2023 6.30am
Gameweek 9
Sydney FC
4-2
Western Utd
Gomes (26'), Lolley (40', 90+2'), Rodwell (47')
Girdwood-Reich (3'), Amanatidis (90+5')
Thurgate (5'), Grimaldi (83')
Risdon (16')
Apr 1, 2023 9.45am
Gameweek 22
Sydney FC
3-3
Western Utd
Mak (22', 89'), Caballo (59')
Wales (14'), Pain (25'), Brattan (56' og.)
> Preview
Jan 21, 2023 6am
Gameweek 13
Western Utd
1-0
Sydney FC
> Preview
Oct 16, 2022 7am
Gameweek 2
Western Utd
1-3
Sydney FC
Mar 19, 2022 8.45am
Gameweek 18
Sydney FC
3-0
Western Utd
Ninkovic (23'), Narsingh (58'), Amini (68')
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