We said: Venezuela 0-2 Colombia
With more quality in their ranks and the need for three points, we back La Tricolor to pick up a victory on Tuesday.
After their poor run, Rueda's men should have gained confidence from their victory last week, and they will know they have no room for error if they are to stand a chance of taking fifth spot.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for Venezuela had a probability of 30.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Venezuela win was 1-0 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Colombia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Colombia.