World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Nov 16, 2023 at 3.45pm UK
Khalifa International Stadium
Qatar8 - 1Afghanistan
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Qatar 0-4 Iran
Tuesday, October 17 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Tuesday, October 17 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Mexico | 3 | 5 | 6 |
2 | Qatar | 3 | 0 | 4 |
3 | Honduras | 3 | -3 | 4 |
4 | Haiti | 3 | -2 | 3 |
Last Game: Mongolia 0-1 Afghanistan
Tuesday, October 17 at 8am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Tuesday, October 17 at 8am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
We said: Qatar 4-0 Afghanistan
Qatar boast plenty more quality and international experience than their visitors, and they should fancy themselves to kick off the qualifying campaign with a dominant victory on home soil on Thursday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar win with a probability of 37.02%. A win for Afghanistan had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qatar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Afghanistan win was 0-1 (10.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 8-1 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Qatar would win this match.
Result | ||
Qatar | Draw | Afghanistan |
37.02% ( 2.76) | 27.93% ( -0.65) | 35.05% ( -2.11) |
Both teams to score 47.98% ( 1.98) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.99% ( 2.41) | 58.01% ( -2.41) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.3% ( 1.86) | 78.7% ( -1.86) |
Qatar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.89% ( 3) | 30.11% ( -3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.75% ( 3.45) | 66.25% ( -3.46) |
Afghanistan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.65% ( -0.12) | 31.35% ( 0.12) |