CONCACAF Gold Cup | Quarter-Finals
Jul 9, 2023 at 12am UK
AT&T Stadium
Panama4 - 0Qatar
Joel Barcenas (19'), Diaz (56', 63', 65')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Panama 2-2 El Salvador
Wednesday, July 5 at 2am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Wednesday, July 5 at 2am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
| Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panama | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | El Salvador | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Trinidad and Tobago | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Guatemala | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Curacao | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Martinique | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: Panama 2-1 Qatar (extra-time)
These two experienced sides have shown a lot of resilience so far in this competition, and realistically this match could go either way. We will give the Panamanians the edge, however, because as a team, they have been a lot sharper going forward, and many of their regulars will be well-rested, which should come in handy the longer this match is deadlocked. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 55.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Qatar had a probability of 20.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Qatar win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Panama would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Panama | Draw | Qatar |
| 55.17% | 24.38% | 20.45% |
| Both teams to score 48.24% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
