Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 63.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 12.96%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.4%) and 2-1 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.