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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 13
Oct 28, 2022 at 8pm UK
Park Avenue Ground

Aberystwyth
2 - 1
Flint Town

Thorn (65'), Flint (85' pen.)
Thorn (45+1'), Arnison (61'), Williams (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hughes (81')
Harrison (43'), Carroll (45+1'), Hindle (84'), Beaumont (88')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Flint Town United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Caernarfon 2-1 Aberystwyth
Friday, October 21 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Flint Town United

All competitions
Last Game: Flint Town 1-0 Airbus UK
Saturday, October 22 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberystwyth Town win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Flint Town United had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Flint Town United win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aberystwyth Town in this match.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawFlint Town United
40.59% (-0.477 -0.48) 24.36% (-0.058 -0.06) 35.05% (0.544 0.54)
Both teams to score 59.86% (0.345 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.16% (0.395 0.39)42.84% (-0.386 -0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.76% (0.39 0.39)65.24% (-0.381 -0.38)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.8% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)21.2% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.92% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)54.08% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Flint Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.96% (0.48999999999999 0.49)24.04% (-0.482 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.7% (0.692 0.69)58.3% (-0.683 -0.68)
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 40.59%
    Flint Town United 35.05%
    Draw 24.35%
Aberystwyth TownDrawFlint Town United
2-1 @ 8.74% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-0 @ 7.9% (-0.151 -0.15)
2-0 @ 6.13% (-0.128 -0.13)
3-1 @ 4.52% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.22% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.17% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.25% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.23% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 40.59%
1-1 @ 11.26% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.23% (0.046 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.1% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.53% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.35%
1-2 @ 8.03% (0.074 0.07)
0-1 @ 7.26% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.18% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.82% (0.088 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.96% (0.062 0.06)
0-3 @ 2.46% (0.061 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.36% (0.05 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.06% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 35.05%

Head to Head
Sep 9, 2022 7.45pm
Flint Town
P-P
Aberystwyth
Oct 29, 2021 8pm
Aberystwyth
1-2
Flint Town
Bradford (65')
Jones (19'), Bradford (90+6')
Kenny (29', 69')
Harwood (3'), Kenny (20'), Maher (57')
Aug 28, 2021 2.30pm
Flint Town
1-0
Aberystwyth
Jones (90+4')
Phillips (88')

Veale (37'), Franklin (61'), Zabret (78'), Jones (90+3'), Phillips (90+3')
May 8, 2021 2.30pm
Flint Town
0-0
Aberystwyth

Maher (45+2'), Bratley (55'), Nash (59'), Hart (79'), Edwards (90+2'), Rushton (90+3')
Amis (45+4')

Franklin (34'), Kearney (43'), Jones (45+2'), Owen (79'), Jenkins (90+4')
Franklin (34')
Apr 16, 2021 7.45pm
Aberystwyth
0-1
Flint Town

Franklin (12'), Jones (67'), J (72'), Rimmer (90+1')
Amis (73')
Clarke (81'), Foulkes (87'), Amis (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
3Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
4Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
5Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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