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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 30
May 25, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Tsentralnyi Stadion
Shakhtar Donetsk

Polissya
2 - 0
Shakhtar

Pedrinho (27' og.), Hernandez (29')
Fortune (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Kevin (90+4')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Polissya Zhytomyr and Shakhtar Donetsk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Metalist Kharkiv 3-3 Polissya
Sunday, May 19 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Dnipro-1 1-1 Shakhtar
Sunday, May 19 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 59.39%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Polissya Zhytomyr had a probability of 17.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.31%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Polissya Zhytomyr win it was 1-0 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Polissya ZhytomyrDrawShakhtar Donetsk
17.7% (-0.324 -0.32) 22.91% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07) 59.39% (0.39700000000001 0.4)
Both teams to score 48.06% (-0.371 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.42% (-0.186 -0.19)50.58% (0.186 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.51% (-0.163 -0.16)72.5% (0.16500000000001 0.17)
Polissya Zhytomyr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.69% (-0.495 -0.5)42.31% (0.497 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.3% (-0.43 -0.43)78.7% (0.43000000000001 0.43)
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.31% (0.073000000000008 0.07)16.69% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.43% (0.13 0.13)46.57% (-0.13 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Polissya Zhytomyr 17.7%
    Shakhtar Donetsk 59.38%
    Draw 22.91%
Polissya ZhytomyrDrawShakhtar Donetsk
1-0 @ 6.07% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-1 @ 4.68% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
2-0 @ 2.61% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-1 @ 1.34% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.2% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 17.7%
1-1 @ 10.87% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.06% (0.053 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.19% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 22.91%
0-1 @ 12.64% (0.13 0.13)
0-2 @ 11.31% (0.14 0.14)
1-2 @ 9.74% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 6.75% (0.098999999999999 0.1)
1-3 @ 5.81% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-4 @ 3.02% (0.051 0.05)
1-4 @ 2.6% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.5% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.12% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.08% (0.021 0.02)
1-5 @ 0.93% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 59.38%

Head to Head
Nov 24, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 15
Shakhtar
0-0
Polissya
Sudakov (34')
Shapoval (10'), Arielson (80'), Tankovskiy (82')
Tankovskiy (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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