Shakhtar

2 - 1

Luhansk

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 76.71%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 8.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.34%) and 1-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.99%), while for a Zorya Luhansk win it was 0-1 (2.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.