Serie A | Gameweek 4
Sep 18, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Arechi
Salernitana0 - 3Torino
We said: Salernitana 2-2 Torino
This game has another draw written all over it, even if it could have more goals than the meetings between both sides last season. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 46.64%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 26.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.15%) and 1-2 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Salernitana | Draw | Torino |
26.17% ( -2.47) | 27.19% ( -0.54) | 46.64% ( 3.01) |
| Both teams to score 46.5% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
