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Serie A | Gameweek 37
Jul 28, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Ennio Tardini
Atalanta logo

Parma
1 - 2
Atalanta

Kulusevski (43')
Darmian (19'), Kucka (45+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Malinovskiy (70'), Papu (84')
Sutalo (6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Serie A clash between Parma and Atalanta BC, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 63.04%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Parma had a probability of 17.51%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.97%) and 0-1 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.8%), while for a Parma win it was 2-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Atalanta BC in this match.

Result
ParmaDrawAtalanta BC
17.51%19.45%63.04%
Both teams to score 59.31%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.47%35.53%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.42%57.58%
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.47%33.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.83%70.17%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.23%10.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.22%34.78%
Score Analysis
    Parma 17.51%
    Atalanta BC 63.04%
    Draw 19.45%
ParmaDrawAtalanta BC
2-1 @ 4.81%
1-0 @ 3.95%
2-0 @ 2.16%
3-2 @ 1.95%
3-1 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 17.51%
1-1 @ 8.8%
2-2 @ 5.35%
0-0 @ 3.61%
3-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 19.45%
1-2 @ 9.8%
0-2 @ 8.97%
0-1 @ 8.05%
1-3 @ 7.28%
0-3 @ 6.66%
1-4 @ 4.06%
2-3 @ 3.98%
0-4 @ 3.71%
2-4 @ 2.22%
1-5 @ 1.81%
0-5 @ 1.65%
2-5 @ 0.99%
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 63.04%

Head to Head
Jan 6, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 18
Atalanta
5-0
Parma
Papu (11'), Freuler (34'), Gosens (43'), Ilicic (60', 71')
Papu (29'), Freuler (70')

Barilla (8'), Pezzella (27'), Kucka (57'), Hernani (71')
Mar 31, 2019 11.30am
Gameweek 29
Parma
1-3
Atalanta
Pasalic (24'), Zapata (75', 90')
Castagne (58')
Oct 27, 2018 2pm
Gameweek 10
Atalanta
3-0
Parma
Gagliolo (55' og.), Luis Palomino (72'), Mancini (80')

Barilla (23'), Gagliolo (61')
Mar 8, 2015 2pm
Parma
0-0
Atalanta
Lucarelli (2'), Rodríguez (78')
Rodríguez (87')
D'Alessandro (56'), Pinilla (92')
Oct 19, 2014 2pm
Atalanta
1-0
Parma
Boakye (90')
Carmona (26'), Zappacosta (30')

Mendes (64'), Mauri (70'), Galloppa (93')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli17122326121438
2Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1594228111731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino175481722-519
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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