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Serie A | Gameweek 38
May 26, 2024 at 5pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Torino logo

Atalanta
3 - 0
Torino

Scamacca (26'), Lookman (43'), Pasalic (71' pen.)
Hien (77')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Linetty (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Torino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torino 3-1 AC Milan
Saturday, May 18 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 1-0 Torino

Torino may be tough to beat, but they are far less effective on the road; as the away side will most likely lie deep, Atalanta can play their way into the game following a few days of celebration, before scoring once to post a sixth straight Serie A win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 47.96%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Torino had a probability of 25.97%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (8.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawTorino
47.96% (0.012 0.01) 26.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 25.97% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 49.53% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.84% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)54.15%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)75.57% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.41% (0.0020000000000095 0)22.59% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.8% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)56.2% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.98% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)36.02% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.2% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)72.8% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 47.96%
    Torino 25.97%
    Draw 26.06%
Atalanta BCDrawTorino
1-0 @ 12.1%
2-1 @ 9.19% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.56% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.46% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-2 @ 2.33%
4-1 @ 1.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.66% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 47.96%
1-1 @ 12.36%
0-0 @ 8.14%
2-2 @ 4.69% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.06%
0-1 @ 8.31% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 6.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 4.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.15% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.44% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 25.97%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Torino

Atalanta BC
75.0%
Draw
11.7%
Torino
13.3%
180
Head to Head
Dec 4, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Torino
3-0
Atalanta
Zapata (22', 90+5'), Sanabria (56' pen.)
Linetty (5'), Buongiorno (45+1')

Scalvini (9'), de Roon (75')
Apr 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Torino
1-2
Atalanta
Sanabria (75')
Zappacosta (34'), Zapata (88')
Sep 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Atalanta
3-1
Torino
Koopmeiners (45+4' pen., 47', 84' pen.)
Vlasic (77')
Apr 27, 2022 7.15pm
Gameweek 20
Atalanta
4-4
Torino
Muriel (18' pen., 84' pen.), De Roon (23'), Pasalic (78')
Freuler (35'), Pasalic (69')
Sanabria (4'), Lukic (36' pen., 63'), Freuler (67' og.)
Lukic (52'), Zima (83')
Aug 21, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Torino
1-2
Atalanta
Belotti (79')
Rincon (52'), Bremer (72')
Muriel (6'), Piccoli (90+3')
Demiral (23'), Musso (81')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
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Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany11003
2 Hungary Hungary00000
3 Switzerland Switzerland00000
4 Scotland flag Scotland10010

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Albania national flag Albania00000
2 Croatia Croatia00000
3 Italy Italy00000
4 Spain Spain00000

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Austria Austria00000
2 France France00000
3 Netherlands Netherlands00000
4 Poland Poland00000

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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