Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 47.26%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 27.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-0 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Juventus |
27.68% | 25.05% | 47.26% |
Both teams to score 53.98% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.02% | 48.98% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.94% | 71.06% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.12% | 31.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.68% | 68.32% |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.24% | 20.75% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.61% | 53.39% |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Juventus |
1-0 @ 7.56% 2-1 @ 6.8% 2-0 @ 4.32% 3-1 @ 2.59% 3-2 @ 2.04% 3-0 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.72% Total : 27.68% | 1-1 @ 11.89% 0-0 @ 6.62% 2-2 @ 5.35% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.05% | 0-1 @ 10.4% 1-2 @ 9.35% 0-2 @ 8.18% 1-3 @ 4.9% 0-3 @ 4.29% 2-3 @ 2.8% 1-4 @ 1.93% 0-4 @ 1.69% 2-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.63% Total : 47.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |