Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stirling Albion win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stirling Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Stirling Albion | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
45.25% ( 0.03) | 23.81% ( -0.01) | 30.94% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 60.31% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.39% ( 0.02) | 41.6% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36% ( 0.02) | 64% ( -0.02) |
Stirling Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.36% ( 0.02) | 18.63% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.05% ( 0.03) | 49.94% ( -0.03) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.12% ( -0.01) | 25.87% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.15% ( -0.01) | 60.85% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Stirling Albion | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.1% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.81% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.15% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.81% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.48% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.16% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0) Other @ 3.47% Total : 45.25% | 1-1 @ 10.95% 2-2 @ 6.22% 0-0 @ 4.82% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( 0) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.8% | 1-2 @ 7.4% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.52% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.34% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.8% 0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 30.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |