Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 52.73%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 24.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Montrose in this match.
Result | ||
Montrose | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
52.73% ( 0.01) | 22.7% | 24.57% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 58.93% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.89% ( -0.02) | 41.1% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.5% ( -0.02) | 63.5% ( 0.01) |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.36% ( -0) | 15.63% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.35% ( -0) | 44.65% ( -0) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.86% ( -0.02) | 30.14% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.71% ( -0.02) | 66.29% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Montrose | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.75% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.11% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.02% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.02% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.61% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.79% 4-0 @ 2.33% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.67% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 3.66% Total : 52.73% | 1-1 @ 10.48% 2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.71% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.69% | 1-2 @ 6.29% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.65% 0-2 @ 3.39% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.36% ( -0) Other @ 3.04% Total : 24.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |