Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montrose would win this match.
Result | ||
Montrose | Draw | Edinburgh City |
41.92% ( 0.01) | 25.19% ( -0) | 32.89% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 56.32% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.81% ( 0.01) | 47.19% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.57% ( 0.01) | 69.42% ( -0.01) |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.56% ( 0.01) | 22.44% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.03% ( 0.01) | 55.97% ( -0.01) |
Edinburgh City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.62% | 27.38% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.15% ( 0) | 62.85% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Montrose | Draw | Edinburgh City |
1-0 @ 9.18% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.86% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.43% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.42% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 2.28% Total : 41.92% | 1-1 @ 11.89% 0-0 @ 6.14% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.76% 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 7.96% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.7% 0-2 @ 5.15% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.33% 2-3 @ 2.49% 0-3 @ 2.23% 1-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.96% Total : 32.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |