Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stirling Albion win with a probability of 55.23%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 22.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stirling Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 1-2 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stirling Albion would win this match.
Result | ||
Stirling Albion | Draw | Edinburgh City |
55.23% ( -0.22) | 22.52% ( -0.1) | 22.25% ( 0.32) |
Both teams to score 56.64% ( 0.8) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.19% ( 0.85) | 42.8% ( -0.85) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.79% ( 0.84) | 65.21% ( -0.84) |
Stirling Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.61% ( 0.22) | 15.39% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.81% ( 0.41) | 44.19% ( -0.42) |
Edinburgh City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.94% ( 0.77) | 33.06% ( -0.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.35% ( 0.85) | 69.65% ( -0.85) |
Score Analysis |
Stirling Albion | Draw | Edinburgh City |
2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.52% ( -0.29) 2-0 @ 8.91% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 6.15% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 2.88% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.6% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 55.23% | 1-1 @ 10.53% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.2) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.51% | 1-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.35% Total : 22.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |