Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annan Athletic win with a probability of 48.75%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 27.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Annan Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 1-2 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Annan Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Annan Athletic | Draw | Edinburgh City |
48.75% ( -0.15) | 23.28% ( 0.04) | 27.97% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 60.19% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.1% ( -0.1) | 40.9% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.71% ( -0.1) | 63.29% ( 0.1) |
Annan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.01% ( -0.09) | 16.99% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.89% ( -0.16) | 47.11% ( 0.16) |
Edinburgh City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.51% ( 0.02) | 27.49% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.01% ( 0.03) | 62.99% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Annan Athletic | Draw | Edinburgh City |
2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.6% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.34% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.92% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.11% Total : 48.75% | 1-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.28% | 1-2 @ 6.9% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.03% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.9% Total : 27.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |