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Airdrieonians
Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic
Falkirk
Greenock Morton
Hamilton logo
Livingston logo
Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Ayr United
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 10
Dec 29, 2020 at 6pm UK
Somerset Park
Greenock Morton

Ayr
1 - 1
Morton

McCowan (38')
Murdoch (78')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Nesbitt (26' pen.)

The Match

Match Report

Ayr recover to force draw with Morton at Somerset Park.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 47.29%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 25.76%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.25%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Ayr UnitedDrawGreenock Morton
47.29%26.95%25.76%
Both teams to score 46.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.45%57.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.67%78.33%
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.64%24.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.23%58.77%
Greenock Morton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.94%38.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.17%74.83%
Score Analysis
    Ayr United 47.29%
    Greenock Morton 25.76%
    Draw 26.94%
Ayr UnitedDrawGreenock Morton
1-0 @ 13.09%
2-0 @ 9.25%
2-1 @ 8.93%
3-0 @ 4.35%
3-1 @ 4.2%
3-2 @ 2.03%
4-0 @ 1.54%
4-1 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 47.29%
1-1 @ 12.64%
0-0 @ 9.28%
2-2 @ 4.31%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 26.94%
0-1 @ 8.96%
1-2 @ 6.11%
0-2 @ 4.33%
1-3 @ 1.97%
0-3 @ 1.39%
2-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 25.76%

Head to Head
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 3
Morton
3-2
Ayr
Oliver (83'), Blues (85'), Strapp (88')
Salkeld (49')
Strapp (32' og.), Smith (74')
Muirhead (52')
Apr 17, 2020 7.05pm
Gameweek 34
Morton
P-P
Ayr
Feb 25, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Ayr
1-2
Morton
Malley (22')
Harvie (68')
Orsi (29'), Cadden (72')
Strapp (64'), Colville (84')
Oct 29, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Morton
2-3
Ayr
Baird (47'), McHugh (61')
Salkeld (40')
Moore (50'), McCowan (55'), McGuffie (78')
Docherty (53')
Aug 3, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 1
Ayr
4-2
Morton
Moffat (9'), McCowan (55'), Forrest (64'), McGuffie (92')
Geggan (67')
Tumilty (73'), Cadden (79')
Nesbitt (21'), van Schaik (53')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FalkirkFalkirk19133337172042
2Livingston19106325131236
3Ayr UnitedAyr19105429171235
4Partick ThistlePartick1895422121032
5Queen's ParkQueen's Park197482122-125
6Raith Rovers187381923-424
7Hamilton AcademicalHamilton186392632-621
8Greenock MortonMorton184861521-620
9Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline1944111725-816
10AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians1913151039-296


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