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Airdrieonians
Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic
Falkirk
Greenock Morton
Hamilton logo
Livingston logo
Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Ayr United
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 5
Nov 21, 2020 at 3pm UK
Somerset Park
Dundee logo

Ayr
2 - 0
Dundee

Smith (3'), Moffat (16')
Sinisalo (80')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Byrne (73'), Marshall (90+1')

The Match

Match Report

Michael Moffat hits 100th Ayr goal in victory over Dundee.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 34.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Dundee win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.

Result
Ayr UnitedDrawDundee
39.6%26.07%34.33%
Both teams to score 53.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.34%50.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.43%72.56%
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.85%25.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.14%59.86%
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.83%28.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.14%63.85%
Score Analysis
    Ayr United 39.6%
    Dundee 34.33%
    Draw 26.06%
Ayr UnitedDrawDundee
1-0 @ 9.78%
2-1 @ 8.55%
2-0 @ 6.75%
3-1 @ 3.94%
3-0 @ 3.11%
3-2 @ 2.49%
4-1 @ 1.36%
4-0 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 39.6%
1-1 @ 12.38%
0-0 @ 7.08%
2-2 @ 5.42%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.06%
0-1 @ 8.97%
1-2 @ 7.85%
0-2 @ 5.69%
1-3 @ 3.32%
0-3 @ 2.4%
2-3 @ 2.29%
1-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 34.33%

Head to Head
Mar 10, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Dundee
2-0
Ayr
Hemmings (11'), Crankshaw (90')
Meekings (45')

Muirhead (24'), Houston (59'), Kelly (88')
Mar 7, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 28
Ayr
0-0
Dundee
Roscoe (52'), Houston (66'), Muirhead (70')
Kerr (25')
Oct 25, 2019 7.05pm
Gameweek 10
Ayr
1-2
Dundee
McCowan (38')
Kelly (28'), Geggan (32'), Muirhead (66'), Docherty (68')
McDaid (16'), McGowan (32')
McGowan (32')
Aug 10, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 2
Dundee
1-0
Ayr
Nelson (74')

Docherty (37'), Kelly (76'), Geggan (94')
Aug 18, 2018 3pm
Second Round
Dundee
0-3
Ayr

Moussa (67'), N'Gwatala (81')
Moussa (77'), Kusunga (90')
Shankland (51', 86'), Moffat (89')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FalkirkFalkirk18132334142041
2Livingston18106224111336
3Ayr UnitedAyr18104429171234
4Partick ThistlePartick178542011929
5Queen's ParkQueen's Park187472020025
6Raith Rovers176381722-521
7Greenock MortonMorton174761521-619
8Hamilton AcademicalHamilton175392330-718
9Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline1843111422-815
10AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians181314836-286


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