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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 6
Sep 15, 2023 at 7pm UK
Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium

Al-Hilal
6 - 1
Al Riyadh

Mitrovic (30' pen.), Al-Shahrani (45+4'), Al-Dawsari (68'), Malcom (83'), Al-Dawsari (87' pen., 90+5')
Abdul Hamid (33')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Al-Zaqaan (90+6')
Toure (21'), N'Dong (34'), Musona (40'), Juanmi (45+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Hilal and Al Riyadh, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Ittihad 3-4 Al-Hilal
Friday, September 1 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Riyadh 0-1 Al Okhdood
Friday, September 1 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Hilal 3-0 Al Riyadh

Al Riyadh are in for another tough 90 minutes against a star-studded Al-Hilal side who are currently firing on all cylinders. Given the gulf in quality and depth between the two sides, we are tipping the Blue Waves to ease to a routine victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 55.68%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 20.88%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for an Al Riyadh win it was 0-1 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
Al-HilalDrawAl Riyadh
55.68% (-0.251 -0.25) 23.43% (0.123 0.12) 20.88% (0.13 0.13)
Both teams to score 51.71% (-0.193 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.59% (-0.35 -0.35)48.4% (0.352 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.46% (-0.322 -0.32)70.54% (0.32300000000001 0.32)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.78% (-0.217 -0.22)17.22% (0.219 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.49% (-0.384 -0.38)47.51% (0.38500000000001 0.39)
Al Riyadh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.47% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)37.53% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.69% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)74.31% (0.066999999999993 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Al-Hilal 55.68%
    Al Riyadh 20.88%
    Draw 23.43%
Al-HilalDrawAl Riyadh
1-0 @ 11.36% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 10% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.86% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.75% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.58% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.53% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.91% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 55.68%
1-1 @ 11.14% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.46% (0.093 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.43%
0-1 @ 6.33% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 5.46% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.1% (0.034 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.01% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 20.88%

How you voted: Al-Hilal vs Al Riyadh

Al-Hilal
92.7%
Draw
4.9%
Al Riyadh
2.4%
41
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al Ittihad1312013292336
2Al-HilalAl-Hilal13111134142034
3Al Quadisiya139131981128
4Al-Nassr1374225121325
5Al-AhliAl-Ahli137242011923
6Al ShababAl Shabab137241811723
7Al Riyadh136341616021
8Al Khaleej136161617-119
9Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun135351414018
10Damac134362023-315
11Al Ettifaq134361120-915
12Al RaedAl Raed134271820-214
13Al Orubah134181125-1413
14Al Okhdood133371619-312
15Al Kholood132471525-1010
16Al WahdaAl Wahda132381731-149
17Al Fayha13157923-148
18Al Fateh131391124-136


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