Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Gil Vicente |
44.96% ( 0.15) | 25.29% ( 0.01) | 29.74% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 54.55% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.14% ( -0.13) | 48.86% ( 0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.04% ( -0.12) | 70.96% ( 0.12) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.27% ( 0.01) | 21.72% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.11% ( 0.02) | 54.89% ( -0.02) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.69% ( -0.18) | 30.31% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.51% ( -0.22) | 66.49% ( 0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Gil Vicente |
1-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.78% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 2.4% Total : 44.96% | 1-1 @ 12% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 7.86% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.13% Total : 29.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
3 | Benfica | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 8 | 26 | 35 |
4 | Braga | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 28 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
15 | Nacional | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |