MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 10:11:02| >> :300:86500:86500:
Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 31
May 4, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stadion MOSiR

Stal Mielec
3 - 2
Jagiellonia

Shkurin (35'), Matras (48'), Gerstenstein (54')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Nene (12'), Pululu (75')
Skrzypczak (63'), Nguiamba (74')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Stal Mielec and Jagiellonia Bialystok.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stal Mielec 1-3 Legia
Sunday, April 28 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Jagiellonia 2-2 Szczecin
Friday, April 26 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 49.48%. A win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 27.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Stal Mielec win was 2-1 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Stal MielecDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
27.07% (-0.299 -0.3) 23.44% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05) 49.48% (0.352 0.35)
Both teams to score 58.85% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.67% (0.011999999999993 0.01)42.33% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.26% (0.011000000000003 0.01)64.73% (-0.012 -0.01)
Stal Mielec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.13% (-0.21199999999999 -0.21)28.87% (0.212 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.26% (-0.265 -0.27)64.74% (0.265 0.27)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.74% (0.13800000000001 0.14)17.25% (-0.138 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.43% (0.24 0.24)47.57% (-0.24 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Stal Mielec 27.07%
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 49.48%
    Draw 23.44%
Stal MielecDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
2-1 @ 6.75% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-0 @ 6.19% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-0 @ 3.84% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 2.8% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.59% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 27.07%
1-1 @ 10.87% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.44% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.44%
1-2 @ 9.55% (0.025 0.03)
0-1 @ 8.75% (0.035 0.04)
0-2 @ 7.69% (0.065 0.07)
1-3 @ 5.6% (0.04 0.04)
0-3 @ 4.5% (0.058 0.06)
2-3 @ 3.48% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 2.46% (0.028 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.98% (0.035 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.53% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 49.48%

Head to Head
Nov 3, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 14
Jagiellonia
4-0
Stal Mielec
Normann Hansen (19'), Wdowik (23' pen., 83'), Matras (79' og.)
Marczuk (50')

Santos (58'), Esselink (82')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Lech Poznan18122433141938
2Rakow CzestochowaRakow18106225111436
3Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia1810533225735
4Legia WarsawLegia1895436231332
5KS CracoviaCracovia189453628831
6Gornik ZabrzeGornik189362620630
7Motor Lublin188462730-328
8Pogon SzczecinSzczecin188372521427
9Widzew Lodz187472425-125
10Katowice186572725223
11Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice185761818022
12Radomiak Radom1862102326-320
13Stal Mielec185491924-519
14Zaglebie Lubin185491627-1119
15Puszcza Niepolomice184681726-918
16Korona Kielce184681527-1218
17Lechia GdanskGdansk1835101833-1514
18Slask Wroclaw1817101428-1410


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