Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 53.79%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Iceland had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.76%) and 1-2 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Iceland win it was 1-0 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Denmark would win this match.
