Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 48.34%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Iceland had a probability of 24.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.59%) and 1-2 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Iceland win it was 1-0 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
