Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Wrexham | 44 | 46 | 88 |
3 | Solihull Moors | 44 | 38 | 87 |
4 | Halifax Town | 44 | 27 | 84 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Grimsby Town | 44 | 22 | 77 |
7 | Chesterfield | 44 | 18 | 74 |
8 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 44 | 27 | 73 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solihull Moors win with a probability of 46.42%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 28.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Solihull Moors win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Solihull Moors would win this match.
Result | ||
Solihull Moors | Draw | Chesterfield |
46.42% ( 0.29) | 25.18% ( 0.1) | 28.4% ( -0.39) |
Both teams to score 54.09% ( -0.58) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.92% ( -0.63) | 49.08% ( 0.63) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.84% ( -0.57) | 71.15% ( 0.57) |
Solihull Moors Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.83% ( -0.13) | 21.16% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.97% ( -0.21) | 54.03% ( 0.21) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.61% ( -0.61) | 31.39% ( 0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.24% ( -0.71) | 67.76% ( 0.71) |
Score Analysis |
Solihull Moors | Draw | Chesterfield |
1-0 @ 10.31% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.52% Total : 46.41% | 1-1 @ 11.95% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.18% | 0-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.85% Total : 28.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 34 |
3 | Barnet | 16 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 33 |
4 | Gateshead | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 30 |
6 | Rochdale | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 24 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 23 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Eastleigh | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 22 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 21 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
15 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 21 |
16 | Tamworth | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 21 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Woking | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
20 | Fylde | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 15 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 13 |
22 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 36 | -22 | 7 |
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