Montreal4 - 0New England
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, August 14 at 2am in Major League Soccer
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union | 26 | 25 | 48 |
| 2 | CF Montreal | 25 | 4 | 43 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 6 | 40 |
Thursday, August 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Columbus Crew | 24 | 5 | 34 |
| 5 | New England Revolution | 25 | 2 | 34 |
| 6 | Toronto | 26 | -6 | 30 |
We said: CF Montreal 2-1 New England Revolution
Both of these teams have been vulnerable on the back end, though we are giving Montreal the edge as they have found a way to overcome that deficiency throughout the campaign, plus they will have a few more days rest in between games compared to the Revs. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 55.41%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 21.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 1-2 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| CF Montreal | Draw | New England Revolution |
55.41% ( 2.02) | 22.63% ( -0.41) | 21.96% ( -1.6) |
| Both teams to score 55.86% ( -0.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
