We said: Minnesota United 0-0 New York Red Bulls
The New York Red Bulls boast one of the tightest backlines in Major League Soccer, but they often struggle to find the net at the opposite end of the pitch, meaning that Struber's side are frequently involved in low-scoring matches.
For that reason, we expect the Red Bulls to hold Minnesota United to a goalless draw at Allianz Field, as the Loons are also known for their stubbornness under Adrian Heath.
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Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 37.34%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 36.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-0 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.