Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 41.51%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.