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Major League Soccer
Inter Miami
Major League Soccer
Jul 31, 2022 at 1am UK
New Fort Lauderdale Stadium
FC Cincinnati

Inter Miami
4 - 4
Cincinnati

Higuain (23', 37', 45+5' pen.), McVey (90+7')
Vassilev (60')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Brenner (28', 40'), Vazquez (81', 86')
Cameron (21'), Barreal (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Miami

Last Six:
Last Game: NY City 2-0 Inter Miami
Sunday, July 24 at 12am in Major League Soccer

FC Cincinnati

Last Six:
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-1 Nashville
Sunday, July 24 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Inter Miami 2-1 FC Cincinnati

 Inter Miami return home where they will be looking to restore some pride following their humbling defeat at the hands of Barcelona. They have won four of their last five home matches in the league and we are backing them to continue this fine run and claim all three points against a floundering Cincinnati side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawFC Cincinnati
38.38% (-0.283 -0.28) 25.91% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 35.71% (0.285 0.29)
Both teams to score 54.49% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.17% (0.035999999999994 0.04)49.82% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.17% (0.033999999999999 0.03)71.82% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.57% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)25.42% (0.136 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.75% (-0.186 -0.19)60.24% (0.189 0.19)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.06% (0.187 0.19)26.93% (-0.185 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.73% (0.244 0.24)62.26% (-0.241 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 38.38%
    FC Cincinnati 35.71%
    Draw 25.91%
Inter MiamiDrawFC Cincinnati
1-0 @ 9.38% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.42% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.42% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.85% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.93% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.32% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 38.38%
1-1 @ 12.3%
0-0 @ 6.85% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.53% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.91%
0-1 @ 8.98% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.07% (0.041 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.89% (0.053 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.53% (0.036 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.58% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.42% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.16% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 35.71%

How you voted: Inter Miami vs Cincinnati

Inter Miami
54.5%
Draw
27.3%
FC Cincinnati
18.2%
11
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2022 5pm
Cincinnati
3-1
Inter Miami
Matarrita (18'), Vazquez (24', 82')
Matarrita (33'), Moreno (56'), Kann (90+1')
Higuain (30' pen.)
Mo (47'), Gregore (53'), Lowe (78')
Oct 24, 2021 1am
Inter Miami
5-1
Cincinnati
Higuain (6'), Higuain (53'), Vassilev (69'), Morgan (75'), Carranza (85')
Matuidi (47')
Vazquez (21')
Blackett (44')
Cruz (90+6')
Sep 5, 2021 1am
Cincinnati
0-1
Inter Miami
Shea (90')
Shea (18'), Gregore (62'), Figal (69'), Matuidi (73')
May 16, 2021 9pm
Cincinnati
2-3
Inter Miami
Martin Barreal (59'), Hagglund (83')
Matarrita (14'), Harris (40'), Gustavo Vallecilla Godoy (41'), Cruz (66'), Cameron (70')
Shea (7'), Higuain (38', 85')
Guediri (23'), Gregore (88'), Gonzalez Pirez (88')
Nov 8, 2020 8.30pm
Inter Miami
2-1
Cincinnati
Ambrose (19'), Gonzalez Pirez (23')
Reyes (62')
Reyes (88')
Gyau (66')
Gyau (4'), Hagglund (21')
rhs 2.0
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
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5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
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13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
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