Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 0-1 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.