Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 43.58%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 30.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Lyon win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
Result | ||
Rennes | Draw | Lyon |
43.58% | 25.71% | 30.71% |
Both teams to score 53.7% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.8% | 50.2% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.84% | 72.16% |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.06% | 22.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.28% | 56.72% |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.69% | 30.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.51% | 66.49% |
Score Analysis |
Rennes | Draw | Lyon |
1-0 @ 10.23% 2-1 @ 9% 2-0 @ 7.54% 3-1 @ 4.41% 3-0 @ 3.7% 3-2 @ 2.64% 4-1 @ 1.63% 4-0 @ 1.36% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.11% Total : 43.57% | 1-1 @ 12.22% 0-0 @ 6.95% 2-2 @ 5.37% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.71% | 0-1 @ 8.3% 1-2 @ 7.29% 0-2 @ 4.95% 1-3 @ 2.9% 2-3 @ 2.14% 0-3 @ 1.97% Other @ 3.15% Total : 30.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |