Ligue 1 | Gameweek 21
Jan 16, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Marseille1 - 1Lille
We said: Marseille 1-1 Lille
Both Marseille and Lille appeared to have turned a corner following their autumnal struggles, but the champions' inability to shut the back door away from home could cost them dear once again. Gourvennec's side always possess a goal threat of their own with David and Yilmaz partnering up top, though, and we just cannot separate the two improving giants on this occasion. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 54.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Lille had a probability of 21.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Lille win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Lille |
| 54.36% | 23.8% | 21.83% |
| Both teams to score 51.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
