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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
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Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Northampton Town
League Two | Gameweek 44
Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
Sixfields
Harrogate Town

Northampton
3 - 1
Harrogate

Norman Jr (9'), Hoskins (23'), Bowie (45+2')
Hondermarck (20'), McWilliams (57')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Olaigbe (3')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Northampton Town and Harrogate Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sutton 1-2 Northampton
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 3-0 Walsall
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 56.69%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 19.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawHarrogate Town
56.69% (0.0019999999999953 0) 24.2% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 19.11% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 46.74% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.37% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)53.62% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.87% (-0.044 -0.04)75.12% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.22% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)18.78% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.81% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)50.18% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.55% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)42.44% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.18% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)78.82% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 56.67%
    Harrogate Town 19.11%
    Draw 24.2%
Northampton TownDrawHarrogate Town
1-0 @ 13.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 11.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
3-0 @ 6.22% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 5.33% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 56.67%
1-1 @ 11.42%
0-0 @ 7.97% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.09% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 24.2%
0-1 @ 6.83% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 4.9% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 2.93% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 1.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.17% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 19.11%

How you voted: Northampton vs Harrogate

Northampton Town
100%
Draw
0.0%
Harrogate Town
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Feb 28, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 21
Harrogate
1-1
Northampton
Armstrong (50')
Olaigbe (62')
Pinnock (49')
Yengi (80')
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
gameweek 43
Northampton
3-0
Harrogate
Hoskins (28', 63'), Appere (59')

Austerfield (45'), Burrell (90+5')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
gameweek 21
Harrogate
1-2
Northampton
Diamond (24')
Burrell (51')
Horsfall (7'), Guthrie (49')
McGowan (55'), Rose (69'), Sowerby (83')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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