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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (10.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Grimsby Town | Draw | Newport County |
38.3% (![]() | 28.13% (![]() | 33.57% (![]() |
Both teams to score 47.2% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.1% (![]() | 58.9% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.61% (![]() | 79.39% (![]() |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.22% (![]() | 29.78% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.15% (![]() | 65.85% (![]() |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.22% (![]() | 32.78% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.66% (![]() | 69.34% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Grimsby Town | Draw | Newport County |
1-0 @ 11.82% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.99% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.16% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.23% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.89% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.8% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 2.42% Total : 38.29% | 1-1 @ 13.18% (![]() 0-0 @ 9.76% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.46% ( ![]() Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.13% | 0-1 @ 10.88% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.36% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.07% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.73% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.26% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.61% Total : 33.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 28 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 59 |
2 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 52 |
3 | Notts County | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 50 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 48 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 48 |
6 | Port Vale | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 48 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 47 |
8 | Salford City | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 45 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 42 |
10 | Chesterfield | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 39 |
11 | MK Dons | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 38 |
12 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 38 |
13 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 28 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 33 | 29 | 4 | 37 |
14 | Swindon TownSwindon | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 37 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 36 |
16 | Bromley | 29 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 39 | 40 | -1 | 36 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 33 |
18 | Gillingham | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 32 |
19 | BarrowBarrow | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 31 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 30 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 29 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 46 | -25 | 26 |
23 | Morecambe | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 27 | 46 | -19 | 23 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 22 | 46 | -24 | 21 |
> League Two Full Table |