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League One | Gameweek 11
Nov 26, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
SToK Cae Ras
Lincoln City

Wrexham
1 - 0
Lincoln

Darikwa (67' og.)
Brunt (11')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Wrexham and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 3-0 Exeter
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 2-3 Wycombe
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in League One

We said: Wrexham 2-1 Lincoln City

Both teams have made strong starts to the season as they battle for promotion, but with Wrexham unbeaten in their first eight home matches and the visitors without a win in their last three league fixtures, we believe the hosts will emerge victorious here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Wrexham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.

Result
WrexhamDrawLincoln City
40.88% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03) 28.1%31.02% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 46.64% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.71% (0.012 0.01)59.28% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.31% (0.010000000000002 0.01)79.69% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.53% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)28.47% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.76% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)64.24% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.21% (0.031999999999996 0.03)34.79% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.47% (0.032 0.03)71.52% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 40.88%
    Lincoln City 31.01%
    Draw 28.09%
WrexhamDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 12.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.25% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.46% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 3.27% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.82%
4-1 @ 1.09% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 40.88%
1-1 @ 13.13%
0-0 @ 9.91% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.09%
0-1 @ 10.45%
1-2 @ 6.94% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.52% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.44% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.94% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.53% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 31.01%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Lincoln

Wrexham
63.5%
Draw
15.4%
Lincoln City
21.2%
52
Head to Head
Nov 29, 2016 7.45pm
Lincoln
1-0
Wrexham
Hawkridge (15')
Raggett (29')

Edwards (10'), Coddington (15'), Bencherif (15'), McDonagh (57'), Tilt (90')
Oct 4, 2016 7.45pm
Wrexham
1-2
Lincoln
Bencherif (82')
Newton (22'), Harvey (55'), Harrad (59'), Tilt (90')
Waterfall (31'), Anderson (45')
Power (87')
Jan 23, 2016 3pm
Wrexham
3-1
Lincoln
York (36'), Jennings (48'), Heslop (86')
Rhead (14' pen.)
Waterfall (53'), Power (57'), Stanley (67')
Sep 5, 2015 3pm
Mar 21, 2015 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham27196246192763
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport29148744281650
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield28146841261548
6Leyton Orient281351040251544
7Charlton AthleticCharlton2812883628844
8Reading28135104341244
9Bolton WanderersBolton29135114343044
10Barnsley29127104139243
11Stevenage2711792725240
12Lincoln CityLincoln29109103534139
13Blackpool2891184140138
14Mansfield TownMansfield27114123534137
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham28107113333037
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
18Bristol Rovers2894152844-1631
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2986154555-1030
20Northampton TownNorthampton2979132845-1730
21Burton Albion29510143044-1425
22Crawley TownCrawley2766152748-2124
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2865172848-2023
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2857162950-2122


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