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Fiorentina logo
Serie A | Gameweek 33
Apr 25, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Juventus logo

Fiorentina
1 - 1
Juventus

Vlahovic (29' pen.)
Julio (40'), Caceres (61'), Biraghi (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Morata (46')
de Ligt (52')

Preview: Fiorentina vs. Juventus - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Having ridden out controversy surrounding their president's role in attempting to re-shape the future of football, Juventus meet Fiorentina on Sunday, with their top-four place still in some jeopardy.

Juve's involvement in the ill-fated European Super League overshadowed their midweek win over Parma, while this weekend's hosts picked up a precious three points of their own through just a third away win of the season.


Match preview

Alex Sandro in action for Juventus in the Coppa Italia on February 28, 2018© Reuters

When the unheralded Gaston Brugman gave relegation-bound Parma a shock lead against Juventus with a superb free-kick in midweek, fears of a major upset rose for the under-fire Bianconeri.

However, an unlikely Alex Sandro brace helped the outgoing champions to turn the game around either side of the break, as Juve ultimately ran out 3-1 winners against the lowly Emilian outfit, amid a backdrop of chaos and fury emanating from the European Super League fiasco.

Club president Andrea Agnelli has drawn the ire of fans around the continent this week, as some of his players and - most notably - his manager Andrea Pirlo were among the minority to come out in the former ECA chairman's defence.

Pirlo - rumoured to be in danger of being removed from his position in the post-season - declared that "something has to be changed" in European competition level and that the idea proposed by Agnelli and his co-conspirators was a fundamentally sound one.

With the future still uncertain for both men, on-field events have taken a troubled turn too, as Juve's qualification for next season's Champions League is ironically in serious peril - as Napoli and Lazio continue to lurk close behind Pirlo's fourth-placed side.

The Coppa Italia finalists have now won just three of their last six league games after crashing out of Europe against Porto, so will be desperate to avoid anything like a repeat of December's disastrous 3-0 reverse to Fiorentina on this occasion.

Fiorentina's Dusan Vlahovic pictured on March 3, 2021© Reuters

That spectacular success aside, high points have been few and far between this term for the Viola, as they went into the midweek round of fixtures only five points clear of 18th-placed Cagliari following a run of three defeats in four.

Fiorentina held onto a potentially vital victory away to Hellas Verona on Tuesday though, which could prove a decisive move in their quest to avoid the drop down to Serie B.

After scoring either side of the break - through top scorer Dusan Vlahovic's penalty and a rare Martin Caceres goal - Eddie Salcedo's header subsequently got Hellas back into the game. However, despite giving up nearly two-thirds of possession, Beppe Iachini's side hung on for maximum points - taking them into 13th, but with safety yet to be assured.

In all, Fiorentina have won only two of their last ten league games under Iachini - who returned to the dugout following former coach Cesare Prandelli's unexpectedly early departure last month - and the team are still in search of their first consecutive victories this season, with just a handful of games left to play.

To post their first back-to-back wins of 2020-21 this weekend, the Tuscan side must complete a Serie A double over Juventus for the first time since 1968-69.

Furthermore, Fiorentina have failed to score in their last three home matches against the Bianconeri, so will rely on 16-goal striker Vlahovic - who has now netted seven and laid on two in his last six matches - to help them achieve such a feat this time around.

Fiorentina Serie A form:
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W

Juventus Serie A form:
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W



Team News

Juventus head coach Andrea Pirlo pictured in February 2021© Reuters

While both top scorer Cristiano Ronaldo and winger Federico Bernardeschi - who returned from a spell in quarantine with COVID-19 - were able to feature in midweek and will be involved again on Sunday, young forward Federico Chiesa is struggling to overcome a thigh problem and remains a serious doubt for Juventus.

Defender Merih Demiral is also a concern for Andrea Pirlo, though all of his other central-defensive options are back fit following a continuous spell of absences in that department and the Juve coach may now opt for a back three.

Paulo Dybala and Alvaro Morata will continue their duel for the second striker's spot, while Juan Cuadrado is favourite to deputise for Chiesa on the right of midfield. Meanwhile, Adrien Rabiot will replace Arthur in the centre after only featuring as a substitute against Parma.

In addition to doing without January signing Aleksandr Kokorin - set to miss out again for Fiorentina with a thigh strain - and veteran midfielder Borja Valero (also thigh), Beppe Iachini must re-shuffle his engine room, as Giacomo Bonaventura serves a suspension.

Despite his struggles in the second half of the campaign, Gaetano Castrovilli should come back into the midfield three as cover for Bonaventura, while main man Dusan Vlahovic should be supported by 38-year-old Franck Ribery up front, even if the elusive French forward has already started twice in the past week.

Fiorentina possible starting lineup:
Dragowski; Caceres, Milenkovic, Igor, Pezzella; Venuti, Amrabat, Pulgar, Castrovilli; Ribery, Vlahovic

Juventus possible starting lineup:
Szczesny; De Ligt, Chiellini, Bonucci; Alex Sandro, Bentancur, Rabiot, Cuadrado; Ramsey; Dybala, Ronaldo


SM words green background

We say: Fiorentina 1-3 Juventus

Though Fiorentina are far from pushovers on home soil, their error-prone rearguard will struggle to keep Juve's array of attacking stars at arm's length throughout, so are likely to concede at least twice.

The Viola are still in need of points to secure their Serie A status, but may have to wait until crucial upcoming fixtures with Cagliari and Crotone to confirm their top-flight place for the 2021-22 campaign.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



ID:444550:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect11806:
Written by
Jonathan O'Shea

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 60.86%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 18.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.91%) and 0-1 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 2-1 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Juventus

Fiorentina
10.1%
Draw
10.1%
Juventus
79.8%
109
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Aaron Ramsey in action for Juventus on February 27, 2021
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli17122326121438
2Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1594228111731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese166281925-620
10Roma175482323019
11Empoli164751416-219
12Torino175481722-519
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma173682333-1015
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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