We said: Leicester City 2-0 Legia Warsaw
With their visitors in complete disarray, this is the time for the Foxes to strike in Group C, as they face a tough trip to Naples in their final game.
Even if Leicester make a handful of changes, their squad players are more than capable of picking off an ailing Legia side which will surely sit back and hope to survive for 90 minutes.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 45.5%. A win for Legia Warsaw had a probability of 32.96% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.62%) and 1-0 (5.18%). The likeliest Legia Warsaw win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
