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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 71.48%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for NEC had a probability of 11.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.13%), while for a NEC win it was 0-1 (3.47%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
Result | ||
Feyenoord | Draw | NEC |
71.48% | 17.2% | 11.33% |
Both teams to score 50.37% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.07% | 38.93% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.75% | 61.25% |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.37% | 9.63% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.83% | 32.16% |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.74% | 44.26% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.66% | 80.33% |
Score Analysis |
Feyenoord | Draw | NEC |
2-0 @ 11.67% 1-0 @ 9.97% 2-1 @ 9.52% 3-0 @ 9.11% 3-1 @ 7.42% 4-0 @ 5.33% 4-1 @ 4.34% 3-2 @ 3.03% 5-0 @ 2.5% 5-1 @ 2.03% 4-2 @ 1.77% 6-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.81% Total : 71.47% | 1-1 @ 8.13% 0-0 @ 4.26% 2-2 @ 3.88% Other @ 0.93% Total : 17.2% | 0-1 @ 3.47% 1-2 @ 3.31% 0-2 @ 1.42% 2-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.07% Total : 11.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |