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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajax | 33 | 79 | 82 |
2 | PSV Eindhoven | 33 | 43 | 78 |
3 | Feyenoord | 33 | 43 | 71 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
12 | Cambuur | 33 | -18 | 36 |
13 | RKC Waalwijk | 33 | -13 | 35 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | -14 | 34 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 93.87%. A draw had a probability of 4.9% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 1.27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (13.69%) and 2-0 (12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.26%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 0-1 (0.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
93.87% | 4.85% | 1.27% |
Both teams to score 28.66% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
76.78% | 23.22% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
57.39% | 42.61% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
97.51% | 2.48% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
88.33% | 11.67% |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
29.39% | 70.6% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
4.82% | 95.18% |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
3-0 @ 14.8% 4-0 @ 13.69% 2-0 @ 12% 5-0 @ 10.13% 1-0 @ 6.49% 6-0 @ 6.25% 3-1 @ 5.15% 4-1 @ 4.77% 2-1 @ 4.18% 5-1 @ 3.53% 7-0 @ 3.31% 6-1 @ 2.18% 8-0 @ 1.53% 7-1 @ 1.15% Other @ 4.69% Total : 93.85% | 1-1 @ 2.26% 0-0 @ 1.75% Other @ 0.84% Total : 4.85% | Other @ 1.28% Total : 1.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
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