MX23RW : Sunday, October 27 13:35:11| >> :60:1079:1079:
Southampton logo
EFL Cup | Round of 16
Oct 29, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Stoke logo

Southampton
vs.
Stoke

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Southampton and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man City 1-0 Southampton
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Sheff Utd 2-0 Stoke
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in Championship

We say: Southampton 2-0 Stoke City

Stoke's failure to make the net bulge against Sheffield United made it four road games without a goal for the Potters, and that streak should become five for a side who often fail to bring their shooting boots with them to away days. Southampton still should not expect an easy rise against a defence-heavy Potters team, but Martin's men put in a brilliant shift at the Etihad and have our vote to stroll into the quarter-finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Southampton win with a probability of 45.74%. A win for Stoke City has a probability of 30.27% and a draw has a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Stoke City win is 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.12%).

Result
SouthamptonDrawStoke City
45.74% (3.544 3.54) 23.99% (-0.468 -0.47) 30.27% (-3.082 -3.08)
Both teams to score 59.29% (0.241 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.22% (0.92 0.92)42.78% (-0.928 -0.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.82% (0.905 0.91)65.18% (-0.913 -0.91)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.1% (1.917 1.92)18.9% (-1.923 -1.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.61% (3.102 3.1)50.38% (-3.111 -3.11)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.11% (-1.471 -1.47)26.89% (1.464 1.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.79% (-1.971 -1.97)62.2% (1.965 1.97)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 45.75%
    Stoke City 30.27%
    Draw 23.99%
SouthamptonDrawStoke City
2-1 @ 9.26% (0.339 0.34)
1-0 @ 8.47% (0.16 0.16)
2-0 @ 7.05% (0.536 0.54)
3-1 @ 5.15% (0.476 0.48)
3-0 @ 3.92% (0.508 0.51)
3-2 @ 3.38% (0.182 0.18)
4-1 @ 2.14% (0.311 0.31)
4-0 @ 1.63% (0.294 0.29)
4-2 @ 1.41% (0.153 0.15)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 45.75%
1-1 @ 11.12% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-2 @ 6.08% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.08% (-0.212 -0.21)
3-3 @ 1.48% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.99%
1-2 @ 7.3% (-0.486 -0.49)
0-1 @ 6.67% (-0.575 -0.57)
0-2 @ 4.38% (-0.581 -0.58)
1-3 @ 3.2% (-0.358 -0.36)
2-3 @ 2.66% (-0.126 -0.13)
0-3 @ 1.92% (-0.347 -0.35)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.168 -0.17)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 30.27%

Who will win Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Southampton and Stoke?

Southampton
Draw
Stoke City
Southampton
50.0%
Draw
25.0%
Stoke City
25.0%
4
Head to Head
Apr 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 45
Southampton
0-1
Stoke

Stephens (42'), Brooks (44')
Campbell (36')
Cundle (38')
Oct 3, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 10
Stoke
0-1
Southampton

Hoever (44'), Pearson (45'), Johnson (86'), Leris (87')
Armstrong (41')
Downes (86')
Sep 30, 2017 3pm
Stoke
2-1
Southampton
Biram Diouf (40'), Crouch (85')
Allen (30')
Yoshida (76')
Tadic (52'), Romeu (57')
May 21, 2017 3pm
Southampton
0-1
Stoke

Boufal (70'), Stephens (90')
Crouch (60')
Allen (53'), Whelan (63'), Sobhi (67'), Shaqiri (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Eagles
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Bengals
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8.05pm
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8.05pm
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City97202091123
2Liverpool87011531221
3Aston Villa95311611518
4Arsenal8521158717
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton94411612416
6Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest9441117416
7Chelsea84221710714
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs8413189913
9Brentford94141818013
10Fulham93331212012
11Bournemouth93331111012
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle833288012
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd832379-211
14Leicester CityLeicester92341317-49
15Everton92341016-69
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham82241115-48
17Ipswich TownIpswich9045920-114
18Crystal Palace8035511-63
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves90271225-132
20Southampton9018619-131


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