B. Leverkusen4 - 0Dusseldorf
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, March 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, March 30 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga
We said: Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 Fortuna Dusseldorf
Leverkusen remain unbeaten heading into the ninth month of the season and are strong favourites heading into this game against lower-league Dusseldorf, leading us to believe they will extend their run to 40 games without defeat with victory in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 65.53%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 15.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 1-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win it was 1-2 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
65.53% ( -1.5) | 18.93% ( 0.72) | 15.54% ( 0.78) |
Both teams to score 56.64% ( -0.69) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.1% ( -1.82) | 36.89% ( 1.82) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.93% ( -2) | 59.07% ( 2) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.46% ( -0.87) | 10.54% ( 0.87) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.76% ( -1.99) | 34.24% ( 1.99) |
Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.31% ( -0.16) | 36.69% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.52% ( -0.16) | 73.48% ( 0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 9.79% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.45) 3-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.2) 3-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 4.14% ( -0.27) 4-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.26) 3-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.15) 5-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.2) 5-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.19) 5-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.82% Total : 65.53% | 1-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.41) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.33) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.19% Total : 18.93% | 1-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.19) 0-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.32) 0-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.24% Total : 15.54% |
How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Dusseldorf
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1 | Liverpool | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
2 | Chelsea | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 35 |
3 | Arsenal | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 33 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 31 |
5 | Bournemouth | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 28 |
6 | Aston Villa | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 28 |
7 | Manchester CityMan City | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
8 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 26 |
9 | Fulham | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 25 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 23 |
12 | Brentford | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 23 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 22 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 20 |
15 | Everton | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Crystal Palace | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 16 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 14 |
18 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 12 |
19 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 12 |
20 | Southampton | 17 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 6 |
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