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DFB-Pokal | Second Round
Nov 1, 2023 at 5pm UK
BWT-Stadion am Hardtwald
Leverkusen logo

SV Sandhausen
2 - 5
B. Leverkusen

Ehlich (50'), Ben Balla (56')
Fuchs (20'), Keller (21'), Evina (49')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Palacios (21' pen.), Tah (54'), Hlozek (85'), Adli (88', 90+2')
Palacios (28'), Grimaldo (71'), Hlozek (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's DFB-Pokal clash between SV Sandhausen and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SV Sandhausen

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: SV Sandhausen 3-3 Hannover (4-2 pen.)
Friday, August 11 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-1 Freiburg
Sunday, October 29 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: SV Sandhausen 0-2 Bayer Leverkusen

 Sandhausen will hope to see their opponents make as many selection changes as Alonso is likely to, as this will clearly improve their chances of producing a shock result against Leverkusen. However, the visitors have decent squad depth to call upon, with Schick possessing enough quality on his own to dispose of a third division team. Alonso's side are building momentum and we expect them to make it 13 wins from 14 games in all competitions for the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 58.05%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for SV Sandhausen had a probability of 20.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.85%) and 0-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a SV Sandhausen win it was 2-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
SV SandhausenDrawBayer Leverkusen
20.06% (-0.208 -0.21) 21.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 58.05% (0.215 0.21)
Both teams to score 55.42% (-0.322 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.15% (-0.26199999999999 -0.26)42.85% (0.263 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.75% (-0.26 -0.26)65.25% (0.261 0.26)
SV Sandhausen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.81% (-0.36 -0.36)35.19% (0.362 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.06% (-0.379 -0.38)71.94% (0.38 0.38)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.52% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)14.48% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.53% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)42.47% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Score Analysis
    SV Sandhausen 20.06%
    Bayer Leverkusen 58.05%
    Draw 21.89%
SV SandhausenDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 5.37% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-0 @ 5.32% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.78% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.87% (-0.035 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.81% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-0 @ 0.97% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 20.06%
1-1 @ 10.28% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.19% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.1% (0.059 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.89%
1-2 @ 9.94% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 9.85% (0.107 0.11)
0-2 @ 9.51% (0.097 0.1)
1-3 @ 6.4% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 6.13% (0.058 0.06)
2-3 @ 3.34% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-4 @ 3.09% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-4 @ 2.96% (0.027 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.61% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-5 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
0-5 @ 1.14% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 58.05%

How you voted: SV Sandhausen vs B. Leverkusen

SV Sandhausen
7.3%
Draw
7.3%
Bayer Leverkusen
85.4%
41
rhs 2.0
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