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Sao Paulo
Copa Sudamericana | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Sep 9, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio do Morumbi

Sao Paulo
2 - 0
Atletico GO

Patrick (4', 64')
FT
(aet)

Wanderson (17'), Jefferson (66')
Sao Paulo win 4-2 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Sao Paulo and Atletico Goianiense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

Last Six:
Last Game: Cuiaba 1-1 Sao Paulo
Sunday, September 4 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Atletico Goianiense

Last Six:
Last Game: Atletico GO 0-2 Atletico Mineiro
Sunday, September 4 at 10pm in Brasileiro

We say: Sao Paulo 1-0 Atletico Goianiense (Atletico Goianiense advances 3-2 on aggregate).

 Sao Paulo have some quality attackers, so reversing this 3-1 scoreline is not out of the realm of possibilities. However, Dragao have been underestimated throughout this competition, and we believe they will manage to frustrate the home side for large portions of this match, while still having enough to maintain their advantage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 55.78%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 19.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for an Atletico Goianiense win it was 0-1 (7.06%).

Result
Sao PauloDrawAtletico Goianiense
55.78% (0.037999999999997 0.04) 24.57% (0.13 0.13) 19.65% (-0.169 -0.17)
Both teams to score 46.54% (-0.622 -0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.65% (-0.692 -0.69)54.35% (0.693 0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.27% (-0.579 -0.58)75.73% (0.58 0.58)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.6% (-0.253 -0.25)19.4% (0.253 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.78% (-0.415 -0.41)51.22% (0.415 0.41)
Atletico Goianiense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.75% (-0.587 -0.59)42.25% (0.588 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.35% (-0.511 -0.51)78.65% (0.50999999999999 0.51)
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 55.77%
    Atletico Goianiense 19.65%
    Draw 24.57%
Sao PauloDrawAtletico Goianiense
1-0 @ 13.44% (0.26 0.26)
2-0 @ 11.02% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.5% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 6.02% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.19% (-0.066999999999999 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.47% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.13% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 55.77%
1-1 @ 11.58% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.2% (0.219 0.22)
2-2 @ 4.09% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 24.57%
0-1 @ 7.06% (0.077 0.08)
1-2 @ 4.99% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.04% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.43% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.18% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 19.65%

How you voted: Sao Paulo vs Atletico GO

Sao Paulo
50.0%
Draw
21.4%
Atletico Goianiense
28.6%
14
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2022 1.30am
Atletico GO
3-1
Sao Paulo
Jorginho (11'), Shaylon (56'), Pereira (78')
Wanderson (28'), Dudu (45+2'), Edson (52'), Shaylon (80')
Luciano (23')
Gomes (32'), Falcao (70'), Vinicius (84')
Gomes (40')
Jul 3, 2022 8pm
Atletico GO
1-2
Sao Paulo
Freitas (30' pen.)
Ramon (20'), Baralhas (23'), Jefferson (35'), Shaylon (52'), Edson (86')
Luciano (24' pen., 62')
Diego (28'), Calleri (29'), Welington (37'), Nestor (39'), Pele (54'), Luciano (73'), Neves (90+9')
Sep 19, 2021 8pm
Sao Paulo
2-1
Atletico GO
Rigoni (36'), Luciano (56')
Pele (83')
Barbosa (71')
Maranhao (27'), Natanael (86')
Jun 5, 2021 11pm
Atletico GO
2-0
Sao Paulo
Eder (23'), Paulo (79')
Natanael (30'), Maranhao (70'), Lucao (76'), Janderson (82')

Vinicius (14'), Pele (69'), Reinaldo (83'), Nestor (85'), Volpi (89')
Jan 31, 2021 7pm
Atletico GO
2-1
Sao Paulo
Natanael (21'), Vitor (88')
Roberto (10'), Maranhao (32'), Vitor (89')
Reinaldo (40')
rhs 2.0
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