Copa do Brasil | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Aug 19, 2022 at 1am UK
Estádio Raimundo Sampaio
America Mineiro2 - 2Sao Paulo
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Quarter-Finals clash between America Mineiro and Sao Paulo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: America Mineiro 1-0 Santos
Sunday, August 14 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, August 14 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
9 | Bragantino | 22 | 4 | 30 |
10 | America Mineiro | 22 | -5 | 30 |
11 | Sao Paulo | 22 | 4 | 29 |
Last Game: Sao Paulo 3-0 Bragantino
Sunday, August 14 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, August 14 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
10 | America Mineiro | 22 | -5 | 30 |
11 | Sao Paulo | 22 | 4 | 29 |
12 | Goias | 22 | -6 | 26 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 37.38%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
Result | ||
America Mineiro | Draw | Sao Paulo |
37.38% ( 0.65) | 26.98% ( 0.09) | 35.64% ( -0.74) |
Both teams to score 50.97% ( -0.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.71% ( -0.4) | 54.29% ( 0.4) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.32% ( -0.33) | 75.68% ( 0.34) |
America Mineiro Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.92% ( 0.19) | 28.08% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.25% ( 0.24) | 63.74% ( -0.24) |
Sao Paulo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.87% ( -0.64) | 29.13% ( 0.65) |