Copa Sudamericana | First Round | 2nd Leg
Mar 16, 2022 at 10.15pm UK
Estadio Saroldi
River Plate2 - 0Liverpool
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between River Plate and Liverpool.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Torque 0-0 River Plate
Friday, June 3 at 11.15pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Friday, June 3 at 11.15pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Fenix | 15 | -1 | 23 |
| 8 | River Plate | 15 | 5 | 21 |
| 9 | Montevideo Wanderers | 15 | 5 | 21 |
Last Game: Liverpool 1-0 Fenix
Sunday, June 5 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, June 5 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Liverpool | 15 | 13 | 32 |
| 2 | Nacional | 15 | 18 | 28 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 15 | 6 | 27 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.68%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Liverpool |
| 44.7% | 23.59% | 31.72% |
| Both teams to score 61.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
