Palestino

2 - 1

Portuguesa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palestino win with a probability of 56.03%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Portuguesa had a probability of 19.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palestino win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Portuguesa win it was 0-1 (6.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palestino would win this match.